Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 446.683965 507.706250 575.341331 656.094512 750.183560 856.702480 986.921541
2026-01-18 347.245098 425.119172 519.169415 642.023746 799.587749 996.659841 1264.594382
2026-01-25 292.236627 375.477039 481.837269 629.397382 831.483886 1102.463530 1500.001970
2026-02-01 263.886030 352.857703 472.002867 645.932229 897.929710 1256.985683 1820.593331
2026-02-08 236.386945 326.621946 452.237756 643.594056 934.397285 1370.949865 2097.950556
2026-02-15 213.139418 302.948829 432.249553 636.714290 960.869774 1470.830266 2367.081757
2026-02-22 196.896560 287.240092 421.418692 641.123657 1003.620879 1599.958008 2704.062362
2026-03-01 179.675840 268.078381 402.966465 630.677188 1019.866158 1686.171024 2979.343985
2026-03-08 166.210169 253.252723 389.471835 626.161513 1044.528819 1788.835143 3301.285487
2026-03-15 150.639835 233.619187 366.284437 602.521572 1032.286537 1822.669274 3494.506075
2026-03-22 145.363703 230.080118 368.916850 623.316887 1102.054636 2017.845672 4050.476788
2026-03-29 141.386308 228.251755 374.081158 648.893728 1183.638462 2247.551024 4726.678277
2026-04-05 133.648671 219.590560 367.008643 651.914262 1223.376441 2401.966041 5274.945255
2026-04-12 124.078170 207.003688 351.939109 638.309047 1228.293929 2484.643583 5673.928809
2026-04-19 115.647083 195.738228 338.224597 625.741620 1233.473146 2568.194334 6093.100164
2026-04-26 111.937524 192.631640 339.163956 642.167503 1302.147423 2805.416197 6967.321421
2026-05-03 106.130787 185.214695 331.335507 639.844887 1329.323702 2950.022248 7625.995921
2026-05-10 100.284616 177.282200 321.843307 633.011231 1345.324386 3070.010171 8244.858789
2026-05-17 96.209188 172.390640 317.845632 637.391060 1387.782061 3263.188102 9133.998232
2026-05-24 90.848021 164.645651 307.563463 627.014523 1393.685123 3362.681617 9757.510066
2026-05-31 86.515356 158.611629 300.263710 622.529024 1413.424372 3502.627803 10553.485864
2026-06-07 80.626510 149.125839 285.208869 599.046513 1382.692019 3498.628625 10858.434987
2026-06-14 79.355267 148.792389 289.126837 619.703390 1467.803334 3838.329135 12489.551069